The Possibility that Rubenstein Knew Nothing About Music
I love the analogy offered by William Dembski in The Design Revolution. He asks us to imagine that…
it is January 1971 and you are at Orchestra Hall in Chicago listening to Rubinstein perform. As you listen to him perform Liszt’s Hungarian Rhapsody no. 2 in C-sharp Minor, you think to yourself, “I know the man I’m listening to right now is a wonderful musician. But there’s an outside possibility that he doesn’t know the first thing about music and is just banging away at the piano haphazardly.” The fact that Liszt’s Hungarian Rhapsody is cascading from Rubinstein’s fingers would thus merely be a happy accident.
Liszt’s Hungarian Rhapsody is an example of specified complexity. Most folks would not listen to Rubenstein and conclude that he is “just a lucky imbecile banging away at a keyboard in just such a way as to coincidentally give the appearance of a man” playing an elaborate piece of music. Most would rightfully conclude that there was an intelligence which caused those notes to be produced in the particuarly pattern in which they were.
Dembski, in this particular chapter of the book, is discussing the loophole Darwinists try to escape through when denying specified complexity points to a designer: That of an infinite universe or even infinite numbers of infinite universes. He calls this the inflationary fallacy, which attempts to rescue chance by invoking probabalistic resources from outside the known universe.
He argues that unlimited probabilistic resources ensure that we can never know whether an event is occuring by chance or by design. We have no rational basis for doing so. Given enough probability, anything can happen. However, if we confine ourselves to the known probabilistic resources for our finite universe, we can confidently infer that certain events are not the result of chance, but the result of intelligent design.
It is possible that I have intelligently typed this blog with the intent to communicate a message, but, given unlimited probabilistic resources, I probably just got very lucky.